How to stop some data breaches
I just read an interesting paper, "Nobody Sells Gold for the Price of Silver: Dishonesty, Uncertainty and the Underground Economy," by Cormac Herley and Dinei Florêncio of Microsoft Research. Herley and Florêncio describe an interesting way to fight data breaches, and that's by contaminating the data that's available for sale by cyber-criminals. The reason that what they propose would probably reduce data breaches is based on the work that won George Akerlof the Nobel Prize in Economics in 1991.
Akerlof's insight was that if buyers can't tell the quality of what they're buying, then markets can fail. His favorite example of this is a hypothetical market for used cars.
Suppose that used cars are worth $10,000 if they're in good condition, but half of them require $1,000 in repairs and that buyers can't tell which cars are which. If this is the case, then a rational buyer would only pay $9,500 (= 0.5 * $10,000 + 0.5 * $9,000) for a used car. But at this price, the owners of the high-quality cars won't sell, because theirs are worth $10,000. This leaves only the lemons on the market, which will further depress the price of used cars, and will lead to the failure of the market for used cars unless buyers have some way to distinguish the good cars from the lemons.
Apparently, there are also quality uncertainty issues in the market for stolen credit card numbers, and this leads to a way to make this market fail. If we can add enough bogus credit card numbers into the market for stolen credit card numbers, if Akerlof's model is right, this will lead to a downward spiral in how much cyber-criminals can get stolen credit card numbers. If we can reduce this low enough, it will no longer be worth their effort to sell stolen credit card numbers and the market will essentially disappear. So flooding the underground market with bogus credit card numbers might be a way to stop some data breaches, in particular, the ones that are caused by hackers actively compromising a system to steal credit card numbers.
That's an interesting idea, but I doubt that we'll see credit card companies doing it any time soon.





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