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Thursday, 24 June 2010

Stand on Zanzibar

I just finished an interesting book, Stand on Zanzibar, by John Brunner. It's about a dystopian future in which the Earth's population grows to the point that governments take all sorts of extremely draconian measures to keep it in check. It was published in 1968 but is set in the year 2010, and it's interesting to see how accurate Brunner's predictions of the future were. Like in any other work of speculative fiction, he managed to get a few things right but he also got others totally wrong. In general, Brunner's vision of the year 2010 is very different from the real 2010. It may not be as different as George Orwell's vision of the year 1984 was from the real 1984, but it really didn't seem very close.

I also read this book because I managed to get a copy that was published in 2009 yet autographed by Brunner, who died in 1995. It seems that before he died he signed some signature pages for a book that never got published, and that the most recent publisher managed to get ahold of these and use them in their edition of Stand on Zanzibar.

It looked to me like Brunner totally missed the affects of IT on society. Or maybe he didn't. Brunner wrote Stand on Zanzibar to point out how overpopulation could end up being a problem. It wasn't meant to point out how the rise of IT could cause a dramatic decrease in privacy. I actually don't know of any books that focus on that particular angle, but I'd probably read one if someone wrote it.

I'm sure that it wouldn't be too hard to extrapolate from the dramatic loss of privacy that we've seen happen in the past decade to the point that it would make the basis for an interesting story. It's not clear to me, however, whether such a story would be better classified as science-fiction or as horror.

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