Were they really talking about ALE?
CAT: I've got it. We laser our way through.
KRYTEN: An excellent plan, with just two drawbacks: One, we don't have a power source for lasers; and Two, we don't have any lasers.
Red Dwarf, “White Hole”
In the "White Hole" episode of the old TV show Red Dwarf, there's a scene where Cat and Kryten are trying to get into the bridge of the Red Dwarf but are being thwarted by a locked door. Cat suggests that they blast their way through the doors, and then Kryten explains to Cat that his plan won't work because they're missing some key pieces of equipment that they'd need to carry it out.
I was reminded of this scene recently when I was talking to someone about the Annual Loss Expectancy methodology that's often used in risk management. In the case of ALE you calculate the risk associated with a particular event by multiplying the probability of the event happening by the loss that will accompany the event if it happens. This is often written as R = P x L.
But when you try to apply this framework to the problems that information security tries to address, you find that you're missing two key pieces, much like Cat was in Red Dwarf. Cat was missing both the power source for a laser as well as the laser itself. In the case of ALE, we find that we don't really know either the probably of events happening or how to quantify the damage that will occur of the events happen. But aside from that, as Kryten might point out, using it is probably an excellent plan.




